Thread: Science Focus: Recent Advances in Earthquake Triggering and Aftershock Forecasting

Dear colleagues,

If you are working on the fascinating topic of earthquake triggering please consider further submitting an abstract to our session. The focus of our session (*Recent Advances in Earthquake Triggering and Aftershock Forecasting*) is How recents advances in understanding earthquake physics can lead to improved predictability for earthquake forecasts! Our aim is to present the scientific steps we made this year!

Abstract submission deadline is 5:00 PM U.S. Pacific Standard Time (UTC −0800) on Wednesday 11 January, 2017. Please of to website: http://meetings.seismosoc.org/ to submit your abstract soon!

See you in Denver, CO this year!

Sincerely,
Margarita Segou, BGS, UK
Andrea Llenos, USGS, Menlo Park

*Recent Advances in Earthquake Triggering and Aftershock Forecasting*
When a major earthquake strikes, the resulting devastation can be compounded or even exceeded by the subsequent cascade of triggered seismicity. Recent examples are the M6’s Kumamoto 2016 events in Japan followed by a M=7.0 almost within a day and the raising concerns after the M=6.2 Amatrice earthquake in Central Apennines, relatively close to the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake. This session focuses on recent progress of physics-based and statistical aftershock forecasts but also on advances in understanding other types of earthquake triggering including remote dynamic triggering and tremor.
We invite contributions focusing on the challenges behind understanding earthquake triggering, improving operational forecasts and how our observational monitoring capabilities enable us to develop skillful models. Related topics include: operational earthquake forecasting models, aftershock occurrence statistics, real-time earthquake catalogs and the uncertainties behind seismic parameters, forecast validation, triggered tremor and remote dynamic triggering following regional and global events.