Glickson, Deborah
2022-04-05 20:56:29
Hello,
Please see below for a description of the Spring 2022 COSEG Meeting, which you may find of interest.
Thank you,
Deb Glickson
View this email in your browserhttps://mailchi.mp/nas/machine-learning-ai-workshop-1323351?e=9b486ee580
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Register Now:
Time-Dependent Earthquake Hazard: Committee on Solid Earth Geophysics Spring 2022 Meeting
April 13, 2022 | 1:00 - 5:00pm (ET)
Earthquake behavior is known to experience time dependent behavior. For example, earthquakes slip in response to a long preceding period of interseismic stress accumulation and repeated rupture of a given fault patch is not expected shortly after a major earthquake. More generally, stress transfer between faults is widely recognized, such that a given earthquake might bring other faults or fault segments closer to (or farther from) failure. However, aside from the specific case of aftershock forecasts, quantifying time-dependent hazards has long been challenging.
Estimating earthquake hazards requires not only an understanding of stress transfer in the lithosphere, but also knowledge of regional tectonics and geology. This information, combined with measurements of ground shaking, allows scientists to make a probabilistic hazard maps of future shaking intensities. Although these maps represent, at best, a “snapshot in time,” they are often used without full critical evaluation in downstream engineering applications. Creating frameworks to capture the changing nature of time-dependent hazard, such as new earthquake occurrence or other tectonic or human processes (such as slow slip earthquakes, earthquake swarms, or fracking), is an area of cutting-edge research.
View the event webpage.https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=a626fa919c&e=9b486ee580
Register Here https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=e742e76808&e=9b486ee580
Agenda
1:00 pm Welcome and Introductions
Diego Melgar, COSEG committee member
1:10 pm Session 1: Plate boundary scale time dependent hazard
1:15 pm Time-Dependent Hazard: Introduction and Global Perspectives
Marco Pagani and Richard Styron, Global Earthquake Model
1:35 pm Connecting Seismic Hazard Across Temporal Scales
Morgan Page, United States Geological Survey
1:55 pm Time-Dependent Hazard in the Last Decade in New Zealand: Experience
and Uptake
Matthew Gerstenberger, GNS Science
2:15 pm Panel Discussion with Session 1 Speakers
2:35 pm Break
2:50 pm Session 2: Connections to Losses, Impacts, and Risk
2:55 pm Time-Dependent Hazards and Impact Estimation
David Wald and Kishor Jaiswal, United States Geological Survey
3:15 pm Multi-Hazard Portfolio Loss Estimation for Time-Dependent Shaking
and Tsunami Hazards
Katsu Goda, Western University, Canada
3:35 pm From Academia to Application - Time-Dependent Risk
Marleen Nyst, Risk Management Solutions, Inc.
3:55 pm Panel Discussion with Session 2 Speakers
4:15 pm Panel Discussion with All Speakers
4:50 pm Closing Remarks
5:00 pm Adjourn
Instructions on how to access this virtual event will be sent to the email you use to register prior to the event. A recording will be made available following the event. This event is public and free to attend.
Contact Us
If you have any questions, please contact Deborah Glickson at DGlickson<at>nas.edu<DGlickson<at>nas.edu>
Please see below for a description of the Spring 2022 COSEG Meeting, which you may find of interest.
Thank you,
Deb Glickson
View this email in your browserhttps://mailchi.mp/nas/machine-learning-ai-workshop-1323351?e=9b486ee580
https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=6163a5b40f&e=9b486ee580[https://gallery.mailchimp.com/18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97/images/8444b989-8c77-4cdf-9807-4972ea15b43b.gif]https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=6163a5b40f&e=9b486ee580
[https://mcusercontent.com/18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97/images/91ecb08a-7ee0-e5eb-dd71-b53dd7ad7265.jpg]https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=511250ec98&e=9b486ee580
Register Now:
Time-Dependent Earthquake Hazard: Committee on Solid Earth Geophysics Spring 2022 Meeting
April 13, 2022 | 1:00 - 5:00pm (ET)
Earthquake behavior is known to experience time dependent behavior. For example, earthquakes slip in response to a long preceding period of interseismic stress accumulation and repeated rupture of a given fault patch is not expected shortly after a major earthquake. More generally, stress transfer between faults is widely recognized, such that a given earthquake might bring other faults or fault segments closer to (or farther from) failure. However, aside from the specific case of aftershock forecasts, quantifying time-dependent hazards has long been challenging.
Estimating earthquake hazards requires not only an understanding of stress transfer in the lithosphere, but also knowledge of regional tectonics and geology. This information, combined with measurements of ground shaking, allows scientists to make a probabilistic hazard maps of future shaking intensities. Although these maps represent, at best, a “snapshot in time,” they are often used without full critical evaluation in downstream engineering applications. Creating frameworks to capture the changing nature of time-dependent hazard, such as new earthquake occurrence or other tectonic or human processes (such as slow slip earthquakes, earthquake swarms, or fracking), is an area of cutting-edge research.
View the event webpage.https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=a626fa919c&e=9b486ee580
Register Here https://nas.us8.list-manage.com/track/click?u=18fe6f8f25ec0bc7509e65e97&id=e742e76808&e=9b486ee580
Agenda
1:00 pm Welcome and Introductions
Diego Melgar, COSEG committee member
1:10 pm Session 1: Plate boundary scale time dependent hazard
1:15 pm Time-Dependent Hazard: Introduction and Global Perspectives
Marco Pagani and Richard Styron, Global Earthquake Model
1:35 pm Connecting Seismic Hazard Across Temporal Scales
Morgan Page, United States Geological Survey
1:55 pm Time-Dependent Hazard in the Last Decade in New Zealand: Experience
and Uptake
Matthew Gerstenberger, GNS Science
2:15 pm Panel Discussion with Session 1 Speakers
2:35 pm Break
2:50 pm Session 2: Connections to Losses, Impacts, and Risk
2:55 pm Time-Dependent Hazards and Impact Estimation
David Wald and Kishor Jaiswal, United States Geological Survey
3:15 pm Multi-Hazard Portfolio Loss Estimation for Time-Dependent Shaking
and Tsunami Hazards
Katsu Goda, Western University, Canada
3:35 pm From Academia to Application - Time-Dependent Risk
Marleen Nyst, Risk Management Solutions, Inc.
3:55 pm Panel Discussion with Session 2 Speakers
4:15 pm Panel Discussion with All Speakers
4:50 pm Closing Remarks
5:00 pm Adjourn
Instructions on how to access this virtual event will be sent to the email you use to register prior to the event. A recording will be made available following the event. This event is public and free to attend.
Contact Us
If you have any questions, please contact Deborah Glickson at DGlickson<at>nas.edu<DGlickson<at>nas.edu>
