Thread: [ssa-meetings] Recent Advances in Earthquake Triggering and Aftershock Forecasting

Started: 2016-12-22 19:53:00
Last activity: 2016-12-22 19:53:00
Topics: SSA Meetings
For the scientists working on earthquake triggering and forecasting this has been a year to remember. The M6.0’s few hours before the M7.0 Kumamoto earthquake in Japan, the M6.0 Amatrice followed by the M6.5 Norcia earthquake 2 months after in Italy and recently the M7.8 Kaikoura event in New Zealand. How our understanding behind physical processes will improve once we start studying these events? Let’s have a first look altogether at the SSA Annual Meeting 2017.

Abstract submission is now OPEN on the meeting website: and the deadline is 5:00 PM U.S. Pacific Standard Time (UTC −0800) on Wednesday 11 January, 2017.

See you in Denver, CO this year!

Margarita Segou, BGS, UK
Andrea Llenos, USGS, Menlo Park

*Recent Advances in Earthquake Triggering and Aftershock Forecasting*
When a major earthquake strikes, the resulting devastation can be compounded or even exceeded by the subsequent cascade of triggered seismicity. Recent examples are the M6’s Kumamoto 2016 events in Japan followed by a M=7.0 almost within a day and the raising concerns after the M=6.2 Amatrice earthquake in Central Apennines, relatively close to the 2009 L’Aquila earthquake. This session focuses on recent progress of physics-based and statistical aftershock forecasts but also on advances in understanding other types of earthquake triggering including remote dynamic triggering and tremor.
We invite contributions focusing on the challenges behind understanding earthquake triggering, improving operational forecasts and how our observational monitoring capabilities enable us to develop skillful models. Related topics include: operational earthquake forecasting models, aftershock occurrence statistics, real-time earthquake catalogs and the uncertainties behind seismic parameters, forecast validation, triggered tremor and remote dynamic triggering following regional and global events.

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